January 23, 2025
45 minutes
Alasdair Hamilton
June 2, 2025
18 minutes
Retail has steadily evolved from manual processes to highly digital, data-driven operations. Today’s omnichannel retailers employ AI across every touchpoint – from the point-of-sale to the supply chain and online storefronts. AI is now “revolutionising the way businesses operate and interact with customers, from inventory management and supply chain optimisation to personalised recommendations and virtual assistants”. This journey can be traced through a timeline of retail technology milestones: barcode scanning (1974), basic inventory software (1992), RFID tagging (circa 2005), early e-commerce recommendation engines (~2011), and machine-learning inventory tools (2015). In recent years we have seen in-store computer vision (2018) and the rise of contactless and autonomous retail solutions (2020), culminating today in generative AI applications for customer service and marketing.
Strategic takeaway: The history of retail technology shows that sustained competitive advantage requires evolving with AI. Leaders in retail are integrating AI gradually into core systems – first optimising traditional processes, then layering on real-time data analytics and machine learning to drive automation and personalisation.
AI powers a range of critical omnichannel applications. Leading uses include advanced forecasting (long-term and real-time), 24/7 customer chatbots, granular customer segmentation, tailored product recommendations, and even content/SEO optimisation. Each of these use cases translates into concrete business results when implemented thoughtfully.
Long-horizon demand forecasting is a classic AI use case in retail. AI-driven models can analyse vast historical sales and external data (seasonality, promotions, weather, etc.) to generate much more accurate inventory forecasts than spreadsheets or simple regression. McKinsey reports that “applying AI-driven forecasting to supply chain management… can reduce errors by between 20 and 50 per cent – and translate into a reduction in lost sales and product unavailability of up to 65 per cent”. These improvements also drive leaner operations: warehousing costs can fall 5–10%, and administrative costs by 25–40% as AI automates routine planning tasks.
AI-based forecasting solutions ingest data from every channel (online orders, in-store POS, mobile apps, etc.) and learn patterns that traditional methods miss. For example, Walmart’s fulfilment team uses AI-powered inventory management that “leverages historical data and predictive analytics” to “strategically place” products across distribution centres and stores. The system combines physical and digital sales data so that it can “deliver [an] easy shopping experience” during peak seasons.
Best practices: Maintain clean, unified sales data across all channels. Use machine learning platforms (cloud or on-prem) to train incremental-demand models. Run pilots on high-velocity SKUs first and refine models, then scale out. Regularly refresh forecasts with the latest POS and online sales feeds (often daily). Focus on accuracy metrics like mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) and lost-sales reduction when tuning models.
“AI-driven forecasting can reduce errors by 20–50% and lost sales by up to 65%.”
Demand sensing refers to short-term, near-real-time demand prediction. While forecasting plans months ahead, sensing uses current signals (sales trends, social media buzz, weather events) to update forecasts on a daily or even hourly basis. AI is well suited to demand sensing because it can ingest streaming data from IoT sensors and digital touchpoints. AWS explains that demand-sensing AI “uses artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML)… to build precise, short-term forecasts of customer demand on a daily or even hourly basis”. It “leverages a wealth of internal supply chain and external market data to enhance accuracy… even in volatile markets”.
In practical terms, demand sensing might look like: tying customer footfall or app activity into a model so that if an online campaign spikes, stock can be moved to stores quickly. For example, a grocery chain might monitor social media trends for “grilling season” mentions; AI would pick up the signal and adjust meat and charcoal inventory accordingly. Unlike legacy planning, demand sensing systems capture data continuously and feed it into ML models that “fill in visibility gaps” and recalibrate forecasts in near-real time.
Strategic tip: Invest in data pipelines and APIs to stream sales and external data into forecasting models. Blend AI-driven forecasts with ERP planning. This makes the supply chain much more agile (e.g. daily replenishment adjustments) and reduces overstock on stagnant products. Training demand-sensing models also exposes gaps in data, which highlights where to improve sensor coverage or analytics.
AI-driven chatbots and virtual assistants are now a front-line tool in omnichannel service. Intelligent chatbots can handle routine inquiries across web, mobile apps, social media, and even in-store kiosks, providing 24/7 support. They resolve common questions (order status, product info, returns) instantly, freeing human agents to tackle complex issues. Importantly, AI chat combines natural language understanding with customer data: an omnichannel AI bot can reference the entire customer profile, past orders, and preferences to personalise each interaction. Salesforce research finds that 84% of sales teams using generative AI report increased sales through faster, improved customer interactions.
AI chat supports self-service across channels. For example, a customer might ask an AI chatbot via Messenger or WhatsApp about store stock; the bot can check inventory levels and hold an item. Or if asked about a product, it can recommend alternatives by querying the product database. On the operations side, Gartner predicts that by 2025 roughly 70% of all customer interactions will be handled by AI-powered systems. This includes not only text chat but voice assistants and automated email replies. Companies that embed AI bots into mobile apps and point-of-sale tablets see faster response times and higher customer satisfaction.
Best practices: Develop a single knowledge base that feeds all chatbots, ensuring consistency. Leverage AI frameworks (like IBM Watson or Google Dialogflow) tuned on retail FAQs. Always program an easy handoff to a human agent for escalations. For compliance, carefully manage data privacy in chats. Measure chatbot ROI by tracking resolution rate, call deflection, and customer satisfaction (CSAT).
“By 2025, generative AI will handle an estimated 70% of customer interactions, automating responses and driving personalisation.”
AI enables much more granular and dynamic customer segmentation than traditional approaches. Instead of a few broad segments, AI can analyse hundreds of variables (purchase history, browsing behaviour, demographics, psychographics, social signals) to create micro-segments or even 1:1 profiles. According to Bain & Company, “with AI, retailers can create more granular (and accurate) customer segments with comprehensive data inputs,” running simultaneous experiments to learn each shopper’s unique preferences. This means a mother who browses running shoes and baby clothes is tagged in both “fitness” and “parenting” segments, enabling highly customised campaigns.
Granular segments power personalisation across channels. For instance, a loyalty app can show different promotions to shoppers who prefer eco-friendly products versus budget deals. Email campaigns can be tailored automatically based on segment-specific interests identified by AI. Importantly, segmentation powered by AI is not static: each customer’s segment can evolve in real time as they interact. New entrants like Gen Z or sudden trends (e.g. a person developing an interest in camping during lockdown) are captured and retagged automatically.
Strategic takeaway: Continually feed customer data (online activity, in-store scans, call logs, surveys) into an AI platform. Use ML clustering and classification to identify emerging segments and personalise content. Periodically validate segments against sales lift: AI targeting often drives 10–25% higher return on ad spend when done properly. Guard against data siloing: unify CRM, e-commerce, and loyalty data so the AI sees the full picture.
Personalised product recommendations are one of the most visible AI-driven features in omnichannel retail. By analysing each customer’s past purchases, browsing patterns, and similarity to other shoppers, AI engines suggest products the customer is most likely to buy. These can appear on websites, in-app “You may also like” carousels, email newsletters, and even in-store digital displays. The ROI of recommendations is well-documented: AI-powered suggestions drive nearly 40% of Amazon’s sales, and even smaller retailers report double-digit conversion lifts. For example, Harney and Sons (an online tea seller) saw a 20% jump in conversions by adding AI-driven suggestions to product pages.
These recommendation systems use collaborative filtering, content analysis, and increasingly deep learning. Modern solutions consider not just “customers who bought X also bought Y,” but also contextual factors (season, location, weather) to tailor suggestions. On the merchandising side, such systems help achieve omnichannel consistency. A shopper who puts an item in an online cart but abandons checkout can be retargeted via mobile app with complementary products, bridging channels. AI-driven recommendation also extends to store associates: tablets at the register can suggest upsells based on what’s ringing up.
Best practices: Place recommendation widgets at critical decision points (homepage, product pages, checkout page, cart). Continuously A/B test algorithm parameters (e.g. mix of popularity vs. personalisation). Enrich recommendations by pulling in user-generated content (reviews, ratings) and inventory data (e.g. avoid recommending out-of-stock items). Use results to refine segments: items frequently co-viewed/co-purchased define emerging trends.
“AI recommendations account for nearly 40% of Amazon’s revenue, demonstrating the power of personalisation at scale.”
AI also plays a growing role in search engine optimisation and content management for retailers. By generating and optimising product descriptions, blog posts, metadata, and image tags, AI tools help retail sites improve organic search rankings and customer engagement. For example, Shopify notes that AI SEO tools “can help you create blog content, edit copy, and design your website” to optimise traffic. In practice, generative AI can take a product’s key attributes and spin up search-optimised titles and descriptions in seconds, or suggest long-tail keywords to target.
Beyond content creation, AI aids SEO through data tagging and metadata. L’Oréal (which owns the makeup retailer Sephora) used a generative AI platform to auto-tag 200,000 product titles across 36 brands and 500+ sites – saving 120,000 hours of work and significantly boosting search performance. In essence, AI can automate the tedious task of keyword research and image ALT-text assignment that typically goes into SEO efforts. Retailers using generative AI for SEO report faster page indexing and more relevant search results on Google and site search engines.
Strategic tip: Deploy AI-powered tools to continuously scan your site for SEO gaps. For large catalogues, use AI to generate or summarise product descriptions in line with SEO best practices. Keep a human editorial review for brand voice, but let AI suggest and draft the bulk of content. Integrate AI with your Content Management System so updates can be rolled out automatically. Track organic traffic before and after AI-driven changes to quantify impact.
When properly implemented, AI delivers clear financial and strategic benefits in omnichannel retail. Industry surveys confirm that AI is already boosting both top-line and cost efficiency. For example, NVIDIA’s 2024 AI retail report found that a majority of retailers agree AI has “a significant positive impact on revenue and operating costs.” In that survey, 52% of respondents reported improved revenue performance from AI projects. Additionally, over 60% of retailers plan to increase their AI infrastructure investment in the next 18 months, signalling confidence that ROI will continue to grow.
Key ROI drivers include revenue lift through personalisation and upselling, cost reduction via automation, and efficiency gains across the supply chain. AI-enhanced personalisation alone can lift revenue by 5–15% and improve retention. McKinsey notes that firms fully implementing AI in customer interactions see these percentage gains compared to peers. On the cost side, automated forecasting and inventory planning have cut excess stock and avoided markdowns, directly improving margins. McKinsey estimates that advanced AI forecasting can reduce overall inventory levels and inventory costs by around 20–30%, while improving fill rates.
Beyond quantitative ROI, AI also drives qualitative business impact. Retailers gain deeper customer insights (fuelling better merchandising decisions) and more agile operations (faster response to trends or disruptions). For example, AI chatbots increase customer satisfaction by giving instant answers and freeing staff to sell more. AI-powered segmentation and targeting also reduce wasted ad spend by ensuring each promotional dollar hits the right audience. Bain reports that retailers using AI-powered targeted campaigns see 10–25% higher return on ad spend.
Key metrics: Focus on metrics like revenue per visitor, conversion rate lift, stockout rate, return rates, and cost-to-serve when measuring AI success. For example, one omnichannel retailer found that after deploying AI-driven demand planning, clearance markdowns fell dramatically and inventory turns improved (per internal reporting). Another measured that chatbots resolved 60% of inquiries without agent help, cutting support costs by double digits.
Best practices: Define clear ROI goals for each AI initiative (e.g. “reduce stockouts by X%” or “increase average order value by Y%”). Use A/B testing to confirm uplift (for instance, compare sales with and without personalised recommendations). Track AI project performance continuously and be prepared to iterate on models. Investing in AI without tracking impact can waste resources; put analytics in place from Day 1.
“Results show a significant positive impact of AI on revenue and operating costs.” – NVIDIA retail survey
Successfully harnessing AI in omnichannel retail requires more than technology; it demands a coordinated strategy and robust execution. Below are key steps and best-practice tips:
Checklist: Use these guidelines to avoid common pitfalls – don’t prioritise flashy technology over data hygiene, don’t forget to train staff on new tools, and don’t silo your AI team. A hybrid go-to-market (GTM) strategy combining internal development and selected partners often works best. Always tie each AI step back to clear KPIs (e.g. forecast accuracy, response time, conversion rate) to demonstrate value.
“Over 50% of retail respondents prefer to deploy a hybrid approach for their AI solution.” (NVIDIA retail AI report)
Walmart (USA): Walmart has aggressively embedded AI into its omnichannel supply chain. Its tech teams built an ML-powered inventory system that “leverages historical data and predictive analytics” to place merchandise optimally across warehouses and stores. During peak seasons, Walmart’s AI models account for both online and in-store demand – ensuring, for example, that a popular toy is stocked in the right regional DC and store before Christmas. The system integrates all channels’ data (“we analyse both physical and digital sales”) to create a seamless shopping experience. Internally, Walmart reports that these AI-driven improvements have helped them increase inventory turns, reduce clearance markdowns, and improve on-shelf availability.
Amazon (Global): Amazon is perhaps the poster child of omnichannel AI. Its entire consumer platform uses AI for search ranking, fraud detection, dynamic pricing, and personalisation. One recent example is the Enhance My Listing tool powered by Amazon Bedrock. This generative-AI feature helps third-party sellers improve product listings. Instead of laboriously writing bullet points, a seller can upload product photos and let AI auto-generate titles, descriptions, and keywords. Sellers report dramatic time savings – one said listing creation went from ~60 minutes to about 15 minutes using the tool. Amazon also uses AI on the customer side: its “Interests” AI feature continuously watches for new products matching a shopper’s hobbies (based on behaviour and profile), automatically surfacing them. This level of AI-driven convenience (curated shopping feeds, dynamic personalised homepages) has helped Amazon maintain industry-leading conversion rates.
L’Oréal / Sephora (Global): Beauty retailer Sephora (owned by L’Oréal) leverages AI to personalise both online and in-store experiences. For example, Sephora’s Virtual Artist app uses AI computer vision to let shoppers “try on” makeup digitally. Behind the scenes, L’Oréal has applied generative AI to marketing content at scale. In one initiative, L’Oréal used an AI engine to auto-tag 200,000 product titles across its brands. The result was a massive efficiency gain: 120,000 hours of manual tagging work saved, and a significant SEO boost. In marketing, Sephora blends rich customer data (skin type preferences, past purchases) with AI to generate personalised email and mobile offers. According to industry reports, L’Oréal’s AI personalisation initiatives have helped it increase conversion rates and deepen loyalty – for instance, targeted campaigns powered by AI yield 10–25% higher returns on ad spend compared to non-AI blasts.
Others: Leading retailers in fast fashion, electronics, and grocery are also setting examples. Fast fashion chains (e.g. Zara) deploy AI in production planning to cut markdowns, while home improvement retailers (e.g. Home Depot) use AI-powered chat to assist online and in-store customers with product recommendations. One major US pharmacy chain used an AI virtual assistant for mobile ordering, boosting drive-thru speed. In Asia, omnichannel grocers like RedMart are investing in AI for last-mile routing and dynamic pricing. While specific results vary by company, the common theme is that early adopters of AI consistently report measurable KPI improvements across sales, costs, and customer satisfaction.
Key takeaways: Study these examples for inspiration. Notice that the winners start with concrete problems (inventory waste, low conversion, poor personalisation) and apply AI systematically. They also capture results: Walmart’s SVP publicly highlights inventory metrics, Amazon dashboards sales lift for sellers, and L’Oréal quantifies time saved. When preparing your AI roadmap, consider visiting innovation centres (like the Walmart Tech offices) or vendor case studies to see proven implementations.
Looking ahead, AI’s role in omnichannel retail will only deepen. Generative AI and personalisation will continue to accelerate: experts predict that by 2025, about 70% of customer interactions will be augmented or handled by AI. Retailers will increasingly use generative models (large language and vision models) to craft marketing content, generate product images, and even simulate hyper-realistic virtual try-ons. For instance, some brands are experimenting with AI-generated fashion designs and video ads personalised to individual shopper segments.
We also expect “phygital” experiences to become mainstream. By 2030, McKinsey envisions physical stores merged seamlessly with digital layers – stores that know you (via loyalty and AI), play your favourite music or scents, and display products via AR that adapt to your tastes. Digital mannequins that change outfit in real-time, smart fitting rooms (mirrors that show you alternate sizes or colours), and cashier-less checkout will expand. Meanwhile, external data (IoT sensors, social trends, weather) will feed AI models in real time, making store experiences dynamic.
Voice and autonomous commerce will rise. Voice assistants (Alexa, Google Assistant) are becoming shopping channels themselves, reading product reviews aloud or reordering staples on schedule. Soon we may see “agentic” AI—digital shopping assistants that learn your preferences and can negotiate deals or subscribe to products for you without human intervention. Early examples are subscription bots (e.g. Beauty Gifter, pet food subscriptions) that predict needs and place orders. As AI agents mature, retailers must plan for an era where the buyer might be an AI acting on a customer’s behalf.
On the supply chain front, AI-driven sustainability and resilience will be a big theme. With climate uncertainty, retailers will use AI to optimise energy usage (dynamic lighting/AC), reduce food waste (automated markdowns for perishables), and source products locally if global disruptions occur. Companies will build digital twins of their networks so AI can simulate scenarios (e.g. “what happens if a typhoon disrupts a port?”) and replan routes instantly.
Emerging vendor platforms are also shaping the future. Cloud providers (Google Cloud Retail, AWS, Microsoft) are releasing retail-specific AI services: product search (AI that understands shopper intent), demand prediction, and merchandising intelligence. These tools will make it easier for retail IT teams to deploy advanced AI without building everything from scratch. For example, some retailers are already testing AI commerce platforms for automated SEO and content generation.
Finally, innovation in omnichannel itself is on the horizon. Concepts like digital wallets linking in-store and online loyalty, AR-enhanced catalogues, and real-time inventory transparency on mobile apps are already emerging. AI will underpin all these experiences to make them smarter and more responsive. As McKinsey leaders note, companies must “invest in analytics” and personalisation now, or “the barriers to entry that others will build will be too high”.
“We are entering a world of ‘phygital’ retail – not a physical world or digital world, but a completely connected one.”